tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → San Jose via Burbank: arrives on time 46%

  1. 13:10 LAS → 14:25 BUR
    WN 2203 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 82% on time, 7.1% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Burbank (BUR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:15 BUR → 16:30 SJC
    WN 4883 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 78% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time46%First flight not cancelled (7.1% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip3h 20mLAS 13:10 to SJC 16:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.