tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Burbank via Las Vegas: arrives on time 22%

  1. 12:15 OAK → 13:50 LAS
    WN 2205 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:40 LAS → 15:50 BUR
    WN 4540 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 65% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip3h 35mOAK 12:15 to BUR 15:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.