tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Boise via Las Vegas: arrives on time 4%

  1. 16:40 ONT → 17:45 LAS
    WN 2213 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 34% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:32 LAS → 21:12 BOI
    WN 1102 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 27% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection14%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 86% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time4%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (14%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (27%).
Total trip3h 32mONT 16:40 to BOI 21:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.