tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Dallas via Las Vegas: arrives on time 12%

  1. 16:40 ONT → 17:45 LAS
    WN 2213 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 34% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 LAS → 23:30 DAL
    WN 2221 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 34% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip4h 50mONT 16:40 to DAL 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.