tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Washington via Dallas: arrives on time 9%

  1. 13:20 LAS → 18:10 DAL
    WN 2219 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 55% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Dallas (DAL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:58 DAL → 22:50 DCA
    WN 1295 · Southwest · 2h 50m · 22% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection40%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 60% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time9%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (40%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (22%).
Total trip6h 28mLAS 13:20 to DCA 22:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.