tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Ontario via Las Vegas: arrives on time 21%

  1. 16:35 SMF → 18:05 LAS
    WN 2221 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 35% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:10 LAS → 20:10 ONT
    WN 208 · Southwest · 1h 00m · 56% on time, 3.8% cancelled

Total trip 3h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (3.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip3h 35mSMF 16:35 to ONT 20:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.