tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 41%

  1. 16:15 BNA → 17:50 MDW
    WN 2241 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 27% on time, 2.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 35m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:25 MDW → 23:10 MEM
    WN 4100 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 45% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 170 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 35m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip6h 50mBNA 16:15 to MEM 23:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.