tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → New York via Las Vegas: arrives on time 84%

  1. 05:30 HOU → 06:30 LAS
    WN 2251 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 05m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:35 LAS → 17:59 JFK
    DL 333 · Delta · 5h 22m · 85% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 11h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 05m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip11h 27mHOU 05:30 to JFK 17:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.