tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Sacramento via Las Vegas: arrives on time 72%

  1. 05:30 HOU → 06:30 LAS
    WN 2251 · Southwest · 3h 00m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:18 LAS → 08:48 SMF
    WN 2359 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 28 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (98%).
Total trip5h 18mHOU 05:30 to SMF 08:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.