tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Portland → Fresno via Las Vegas: arrives on time 30%

  1. 18:00 PDX → 20:15 LAS
    WN 2256 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 35m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 LAS → 00:08 FAT +1 day
    WN 407 · Southwest · 1h 18m · 31% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 110 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 35m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (31%).
Total trip6h 08mPDX 18:00 to FAT 00:08, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.