tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Burbank via Las Vegas: arrives on time 36%

  1. 17:00 SJC → 18:30 LAS
    WN 2266 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 57% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:25 LAS → 20:35 BUR
    WN 2202 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 69% on time, 2.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (2.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip3h 35mSJC 17:00 to BUR 20:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.