tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Omaha via Las Vegas: arrives on time 8%

  1. 17:35 SEA → 20:15 LAS
    WN 2267 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 27% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:05 LAS → 01:45 OMA +1 day
    WN 4587 · Southwest · 2h 42m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 2 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection15%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 85% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time8%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (15%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip6h 12mSEA 17:35 to OMA 01:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.