tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → San Jose via Las Vegas: arrives on time 41%

  1. 17:35 SEA → 20:15 LAS
    WN 2267 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 27% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 40m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 LAS → 23:25 SJC
    WN 660 · Southwest · 1h 32m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 55 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 40m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 52mSEA 17:35 to SJC 23:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.