tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Louisville via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:10 LAS → 11:45 MDW
    WN 2270 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:45 MDW → 14:55 SDF
    WN 4473 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 45mLAS 06:10 to SDF 14:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.