tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 54%

  1. 08:20 LAS → 13:55 MDW
    WN 2271 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 27m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:22 MDW → 18:22 PHL
    WN 4948 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 60% on time, 6.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 42 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 27m layover.
Arrives on time54%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (6.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 02mLAS 08:20 to PHL 18:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.