tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Santa Ana → Baltimore via Las Vegas: arrives on time 50%

  1. 14:00 SNA → 15:20 LAS
    WN 2274 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 16:30 LAS → 00:10 BWI +1 day
    WN 2206 · Southwest · 4h 35m · 59% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Santa Ana). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip7h 05mSNA 14:00 to BWI 00:10, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.