tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Louisville via Chicago: arrives on time 93%

  1. 23:55 LAS → 05:25 MDW
    WN 2276 · Southwest · 3h 30m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 20m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:45 MDW → 10:05 SDF +1 day
    WN 1267 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 95 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 20m layover.
Arrives on time93%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip7h 10mLAS 23:55 to SDF 10:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.