tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Tampa via Chicago: arrives on time 88%

  1. 23:55 LAS → 05:25 MDW
    WN 2276 · Southwest · 3h 30m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:15 MDW → 12:50 TPA +1 day
    WN 2907 · Southwest · 2h 35m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 185 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 55mLAS 23:55 to TPA 12:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.