tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Raleigh/Durham via Chicago: arrives on time 87%

  1. 23:55 LAS → 05:25 MDW
    WN 2276 · Southwest · 3h 30m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:40 MDW → 10:35 RDU +1 day
    WN 852 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 90 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time87%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip7h 40mLAS 23:55 to RDU 10:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.