tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Chicago via Las Vegas: arrives on time 92%

  1. 18:40 PHX → 19:45 LAS
    WN 2281 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 16% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 45m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 23:30 LAS → 05:11 ORD +1 day
    UA 2102 · United · 3h 41m · 92% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 135 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 45m layover.
Arrives on time92%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip8h 31mPHX 18:40 to ORD 05:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.