tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Nashville via Las Vegas: arrives on time 82%

  1. 18:40 PHX → 19:45 LAS
    WN 2281 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 16% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 40m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:25 LAS → 05:00 BNA +1 day
    WN 2191 · Southwest · 3h 35m · 82% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 175 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 40m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 20mPHX 18:40 to BNA 05:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.