tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Denver via Oakland: arrives on time 38%

  1. 17:10 LAS → 18:45 OAK
    WN 2286 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Oakland (OAK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:40 OAK → 23:05 DEN
    WN 2418 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 1 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (67%).
Total trip4h 55mLAS 17:10 to DEN 23:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.