tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Ontario → Dallas via Sacramento: arrives on time 45%

  1. 13:20 ONT → 14:40 SMF
    WN 2298 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:40 SMF → 21:00 DAL
    WN 3772 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 51% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 2 h ahead of Ontario). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 40mONT 13:20 to DAL 21:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.