tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Seattle → Baltimore via Chicago: arrives on time 90%

  1. 23:05 SEA → 05:00 MDW
    WN 2304 · Southwest · 3h 55m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:55 MDW → 11:45 BWI +1 day
    WN 1355 · Southwest · 1h 50m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 3 h ahead of Seattle). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 190 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 55m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip9h 40mSEA 23:05 to BWI 11:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.