tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Santa Barbara via Phoenix: arrives on time 94%

  1. 06:20 LAS → 07:35 PHX
    WN 2309 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 29m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:04 PHX → 11:46 SBA
    AA 3784 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 42m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 26m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 34 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 59 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 29m layover.
Arrives on time94%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip5h 26mLAS 06:20 to SBA 11:46, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.