tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Kailua/Kona → Las Vegas via Sacramento: arrives on time 58%

  1. 10:00 KOA → 18:05 SMF
    WN 2316 · Southwest · 5h 05m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 45m layover in Sacramento (SMF) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 SMF → 21:20 LAS
    WN 1324 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h ahead of Kailua/Kona). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 60 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 45m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip8h 20mKOA 10:00 to LAS 21:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.