tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Hartford via Chicago: arrives on time 15%

  1. 17:55 ATL → 18:55 MDW
    WN 232 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 48% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 MDW → 22:58 BDL
    WN 1603 · Southwest · 2h 08m · 43% on time, 11.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection41%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 59% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time15%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (41%) × second flight not cancelled (11.5% are) and within 15 minutes (43%).
Total trip5h 03mATL 17:55 to BDL 22:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.