tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Phoenix via Las Vegas: arrives on time 89%

  1. 05:00 OAK → 06:30 LAS
    WN 2325 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 98% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 25m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:55 LAS → 09:15 PHX
    WN 209 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 94% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 40 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 25m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip4h 15mOAK 05:00 to PHX 09:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.