tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Pittsburgh via Las Vegas: arrives on time 12%

  1. 11:05 PHX → 12:15 LAS
    WN 2328 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:05 LAS → 20:20 PIT
    WN 4491 · Southwest · 4h 15m · 31% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time12%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (31%).
Total trip6h 15mPHX 11:05 to PIT 20:20, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.