tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Portland via Chicago: arrives on time 16%

  1. 19:35 ATL → 20:30 MDW
    WN 233 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 31% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:35 MDW → 23:35 PDX
    WN 2852 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 45% on time, 3.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection36%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 64% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (36%) × second flight not cancelled (3.5% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip7h 20mATL 19:35 to PDX 23:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.