tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Grand Rapids via Chicago: arrives on time 14%

  1. 19:35 ATL → 20:30 MDW
    WN 233 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 31% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:28 MDW → 23:25 GRR
    WN 4113 · Southwest · 58m · 50% on time, 4.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection29%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 71% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (29%) × second flight not cancelled (4.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip3h 51mATL 19:35 to GRR 23:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.