tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Santa Rosa via San Diego: arrives on time 29%

  1. 18:55 LAS → 20:10 SAN
    WN 2330 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 28% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in San Diego (SAN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 SAN → 23:30 STS
    WN 4191 · Southwest · 1h 45m · 57% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 39 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip4h 35mLAS 18:55 to STS 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.