tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Kailua/Kona via Las Vegas: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:30 PHX → 08:40 LAS
    WN 2336 · Southwest · 1h 10m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:30 LAS → 12:45 KOA
    WN 4452 · Southwest · 6h 15m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Kailua/Kona is 3 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection86%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 14% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (86%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip8h 15mPHX 07:30 to KOA 12:45, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.