tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Memphis via Nashville: arrives on time 14%

  1. 20:00 BOS → 21:45 BNA
    WN 2338 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 BNA → 23:55 MEM
    WN 580 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 39% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection37%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 63% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time14%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (37%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip4h 55mBOS 20:00 to MEM 23:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.