tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

San Jose → Washington via Austin: arrives on time 51%

  1. 06:00 SJC → 11:30 AUS
    WN 2363 · Southwest · 3h 30m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Austin (AUS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:25 AUS → 16:40 DCA
    WN 281 · Southwest · 3h 15m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival (Washington is 3 h ahead of San Jose). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 40mSJC 06:00 to DCA 16:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.