tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Nashville via Tampa: arrives on time 27%

  1. 09:00 LAS → 16:30 TPA
    WN 2372 · Southwest · 4h 30m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Tampa (TPA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 TPA → 18:15 BNA
    WN 4005 · Southwest · 1h 55m · 60% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 2 h ahead of Las Vegas). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time27%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip7h 15mLAS 09:00 to BNA 18:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.