tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Tulsa → Houston via Nashville: arrives on time 22%

  1. 16:20 TUL → 17:55 BNA
    WN 2374 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 68% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 BNA → 21:02 HOU
    WN 534 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 33% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 40m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (33%).
Total trip4h 40mTUL 16:20 to HOU 21:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.