tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Columbus via Baltimore: arrives on time 20%

  1. 13:35 LAX → 21:35 BWI
    WN 2384 · Southwest · 5h 00m · 54% on time, 3.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 BWI → 23:50 CMH
    WN 4157 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 65% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection33%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 67% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (3.8% are) × connection made (33%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip7h 15mLAX 13:35 to CMH 23:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.