tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Newark via Los Angeles: arrives on time 86%

  1. 15:50 PHX → 17:10 LAX
    WN 2388 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 50m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:00 LAX → 05:18 EWR +1 day
    UA 2397 · United · 5h 18m · 88% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 10h 28m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 140 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 50m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip10h 28mPHX 15:50 to EWR 05:18, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.