tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Honolulu via Los Angeles: arrives on time 28%

  1. 15:50 PHX → 17:10 LAX
    WN 2388 · Southwest · 1h 20m · 32% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:40 LAX → 21:22 HNL
    WN 377 · Southwest · 5h 42m · 40% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Honolulu is 3 h behind Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (40%).
Total trip8h 32mPHX 15:50 to HNL 21:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.