tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Santa Barbara via Los Angeles: arrives on time 81%

  1. 17:15 SMF → 18:45 LAX
    WN 2394 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 22:44 LAX → 23:44 SBA
    UA 4796 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 00m · 88% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 23 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip6h 29mSMF 17:15 to SBA 23:44, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.