tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Phoenix via Los Angeles: arrives on time 21%

  1. 20:12 OAK → 21:38 LAX
    WN 2396 · Southwest · 1h 25m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Los Angeles (LAX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 LAX → 23:55 PHX
    WN 1672 · Southwest · 1h 30m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip3h 43mOAK 20:12 to PHX 23:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.