tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Sarasota/Bradenton via St Louis: arrives on time 50%

  1. 13:10 ATL → 13:50 STL
    WN 240 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 76% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 STL → 18:20 SRQ
    WN 4913 · Southwest · 2h 20m · 63% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (63%).
Total trip5h 10mATL 13:10 to SRQ 18:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.