tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Philadelphia via St Louis: arrives on time 40%

  1. 13:30 LAX → 19:10 STL
    WN 2400 · Southwest · 3h 40m · 47% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:38 STL → 23:50 PHL
    WN 3966 · Southwest · 2h 12m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip7h 20mLAX 13:30 to PHL 23:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.