tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → New York via Houston: arrives on time 50%

  1. 23:40 LAX → 05:00 HOU
    WN 2402 · Southwest · 3h 20m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Houston (HOU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 05:50 HOU → 10:15 LGA +1 day
    WN 2013 · Southwest · 3h 25m · 96% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 3 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (96%).
Total trip7h 35mLAX 23:40 to LGA 10:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.