tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Austin via Las Vegas: arrives on time 20%

  1. 18:20 LAX → 19:35 LAS
    WN 2404 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:25 LAS → 01:10 AUS +1 day
    WN 2186 · Southwest · 2h 45m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Austin is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection38%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 62% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (38%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (53%).
Total trip4h 50mLAX 18:20 to AUS 01:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.