tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Los Angeles → Tulsa via Las Vegas: arrives on time 17%

  1. 18:20 LAX → 19:35 LAS
    WN 2404 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 50% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:35 LAS → 01:15 TUL +1 day
    WN 4339 · Southwest · 2h 40m · 35% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 2 h ahead of Los Angeles). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (35%).
Total trip4h 55mLAX 18:20 to TUL 01:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.