tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Sacramento via Las Vegas: arrives on time 49%

  1. 12:25 BNA → 14:15 LAS
    WN 2407 · Southwest · 3h 50m · 46% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 35m layover in Las Vegas (LAS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 LAS → 17:25 SMF
    WN 1308 · Southwest · 1h 35m · 58% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 50 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 35m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip7h 00mBNA 12:25 to SMF 17:25, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.