tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Dallas via St Louis: arrives on time 3%

  1. 20:20 ATL → 21:00 STL
    WN 241 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 15% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in St Louis (STL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 STL → 23:30 DAL
    WN 3904 · Southwest · 1h 40m · 30% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection9%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 91% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time3%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (9%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (30%).
Total trip4h 10mATL 20:20 to DAL 23:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.