tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Oakland → Orlando via Denver: arrives on time 43%

  1. 19:40 OAK → 23:05 DEN
    WN 2418 · Southwest · 2h 25m · 67% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Denver (DEN) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 23:55 DEN → 05:40 MCO +1 day
    WN 1597 · Southwest · 3h 45m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 3 h ahead of Oakland). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time43%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 00mOAK 19:40 to MCO 05:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.